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HomeMy WebLinkAboutNOAA 14_canyonlakeNOAA Atlas 14, Volume 6, Version 2 Location name: Lake Elsinore, California, US* Latitude: 33.6902°, Longitude: -117.2887° Elevation: 1530ft* * source: Google Maps POINT PRECIPITATION FREQUENCY ESTIMATES Sanja Perica, Sarah Dietz, Sarah Heim, Lillian Hiner, Kazungu Maitaria, Deborah Martin, Sandra Pavlovic, Ishani Roy, Carl Trypaluk, Dale Unruh, Fenglin Yan, Michael Yekta, Tan Zhao, Geoffrey Bonnin, Daniel Brewer, Li-Chuan Chen, Tye Parzybok, John Yarchoan NOAA, National Weather Service, Silver Spring, Maryland PF_tabular |PF_graphical |Maps_&_aerials PF tabular PDS-based point precipitation frequency estimates with 90% confidence intervals (in inches)1 Duration Average recurrence interval (years) 1 2 5 10 25 50 100 200 500 1000 5-min 0.085 (0.071-0.102) 0.116 (0.097-0.140) 0.158 (0.132-0.192) 0.194 (0.160-0.237) 0.244 (0.195-0.308) 0.284 (0.221-0.367) 0.325 (0.248-0.432) 0.370 (0.273-0.505) 0.432 (0.306-0.617) 0.482 (0.329-0.714) 10-min 0.122 (0.102-0.147) 0.166 (0.139-0.201) 0.227 (0.189-0.275) 0.278 (0.230-0.339) 0.349 (0.279-0.442) 0.406 (0.317-0.526) 0.466 (0.355-0.619) 0.530 (0.392-0.724) 0.619 (0.438-0.884) 0.691 (0.471-1.02) 15-min 0.147 (0.123-0.178) 0.201 (0.168-0.243) 0.274 (0.229-0.332) 0.336 (0.278-0.410) 0.423 (0.337-0.534) 0.492 (0.384-0.636) 0.564 (0.429-0.748) 0.641 (0.473-0.876) 0.749 (0.530-1.07) 0.836 (0.570-1.24) 30-min 0.229 (0.192-0.276) 0.313 (0.262-0.378) 0.427 (0.356-0.517) 0.523 (0.433-0.638) 0.658 (0.525-0.832) 0.765 (0.598-0.990) 0.878 (0.668-1.17) 0.998 (0.737-1.36) 1.17 (0.825-1.67) 1.30 (0.887-1.93) 60-min 0.354 (0.297-0.427) 0.484 (0.405-0.584) 0.659 (0.550-0.798) 0.807 (0.668-0.985) 1.02 (0.811-1.28) 1.18 (0.923-1.53) 1.36 (1.03-1.80) 1.54 (1.14-2.11) 1.80 (1.27-2.57) 2.01 (1.37-2.97) 2-hr 0.539 (0.451-0.649) 0.705 (0.590-0.851) 0.931 (0.777-1.13) 1.12 (0.927-1.37) 1.39 (1.11-1.75) 1.60 (1.25-2.07) 1.82 (1.39-2.42) 2.06 (1.52-2.81) 2.39 (1.69-3.41) 2.65 (1.81-3.92) 3-hr 0.671 (0.562-0.808) 0.869 (0.727-1.05) 1.14 (0.948-1.38) 1.36 (1.13-1.66) 1.67 (1.34-2.12) 1.92 (1.50-2.49) 2.18 (1.66-2.89) 2.46 (1.81-3.36) 2.84 (2.01-4.05) 3.14 (2.14-4.65) 6-hr 0.961 (0.805-1.16) 1.25 (1.04-1.50) 1.63 (1.36-1.97) 1.94 (1.61-2.37) 2.38 (1.90-3.01) 2.72 (2.12-3.52) 3.07 (2.34-4.08) 3.44 (2.54-4.70) 3.95 (2.79-5.64) 4.35 (2.96-6.44) 12-hr 1.25 (1.05-1.51) 1.69 (1.42-2.04) 2.26 (1.89-2.74) 2.72 (2.25-3.33) 3.35 (2.67-4.23) 3.82 (2.98-4.94) 4.30 (3.27-5.70) 4.78 (3.53-6.54) 5.44 (3.85-7.76) 5.94 (4.05-8.79) 24-hr 1.64 (1.45-1.89) 2.36 (2.08-2.72) 3.27 (2.88-3.78) 3.99 (3.48-4.66) 4.94 (4.18-5.95) 5.64 (4.68-6.94) 6.35 (5.14-8.00) 7.05 (5.56-9.13) 7.99 (6.05-10.8) 8.70 (6.37-12.1) 2-day 1.96 (1.73-2.26) 2.91 (2.57-3.36) 4.12 (3.63-4.78) 5.09 (4.45-5.94) 6.37 (5.39-7.68) 7.33 (6.08-9.01) 8.28 (6.71-10.4) 9.25 (7.29-12.0) 10.5 (7.98-14.2) 11.5 (8.43-16.0) 3-day 2.12 (1.87-2.45) 3.20 (2.83-3.70) 4.59 (4.04-5.32) 5.70 (4.98-6.66) 7.19 (6.08-8.67) 8.31 (6.89-10.2) 9.44 (7.65-11.9) 10.6 (8.35-13.7) 12.1 (9.18-16.3) 13.3 (9.74-18.5) 4-day 2.29 (2.02-2.64) 3.48 (3.07-4.02) 5.03 (4.43-5.82) 6.27 (5.48-7.32) 7.95 (6.73-9.58) 9.22 (7.65-11.3) 10.5 (8.52-13.2) 11.8 (9.33-15.3) 13.6 (10.3-18.3) 15.0 (11.0-20.9) 7-day 2.60 (2.30-3.00) 3.95 (3.49-4.56) 5.74 (5.05-6.65) 7.21 (6.30-8.42) 9.23 (7.81-11.1) 10.8 (8.96-13.3) 12.4 (10.1-15.6) 14.1 (11.1-18.2) 16.4 (12.4-22.1) 18.2 (13.4-25.4) 10-day 2.75 (2.43-3.17) 4.17 (3.68-4.82) 6.07 (5.35-7.04) 7.66 (6.70-8.95) 9.88 (8.36-11.9) 11.6 (9.64-14.3) 13.4 (10.9-16.9) 15.4 (12.1-19.9) 18.0 (13.7-24.3) 20.2 (14.8-28.1) 20-day 3.29 (2.90-3.79) 4.95 (4.37-5.72) 7.25 (6.38-8.40) 9.22 (8.05-10.8) 12.0 (10.2-14.5) 14.3 (11.9-17.6) 16.8 (13.6-21.1) 19.4 (15.3-25.1) 23.2 (17.5-31.2) 26.2 (19.2-36.5) 30-day 3.88 (3.43-4.48) 5.77 (5.10-6.67) 8.44 (7.43-9.78) 10.8 (9.40-12.6) 14.1 (12.0-17.0) 16.9 (14.0-20.8) 19.9 (16.1-25.1) 23.2 (18.3-30.0) 28.0 (21.2-37.7) 31.9 (23.4-44.5) 45-day 4.57 (4.04-5.27) 6.66 (5.88-7.69) 9.64 (8.49-11.2) 12.3 (10.7-14.3) 16.2 (13.7-19.5) 19.5 (16.1-23.9) 23.0 (18.7-29.0) 27.0 (21.3-34.9) 32.9 (24.9-44.3) 37.8 (27.7-52.7) 60-day 5.30 (4.68-6.11) 7.55 (6.66-8.72) 10.8 (9.51-12.5) 13.7 (12.0-16.0) 18.1 (15.3-21.8) 21.8 (18.0-26.8) 25.8 (20.9-32.6) 30.4 (24.0-39.4) 37.3 (28.2-50.2) 43.1 (31.6-60.1) 1 Precipitation frequency (PF) estimates in this table are based on frequency analysis of partial duration series (PDS). Numbers in parenthesis are PF estimates at lower and upper bounds of the 90% confidence interval. The probability that precipitation frequency estimates (for a given duration and average recurrence interval) will be greater than the upper bound (or less than the lower bound) is 5%. Estimates at upper bounds are not checked against probable maximum precipitation (PMP) estimates and may be higher than currently valid PMP values. Please refer to NOAA Atlas 14 document for more information. Back to Top PF graphical Page 1 of 4Precipitation Frequency Data Server 6/5/2015http://hdsc.nws.noaa.gov/hdsc/pfds/pfds_printpage.html?lat=33.6902&lon=-117.2887&data... Back to Top Maps & aerials Small scale terrain Report a map error50 km Page 2 of 4Precipitation Frequency Data Server 6/5/2015http://hdsc.nws.noaa.gov/hdsc/pfds/pfds_printpage.html?lat=33.6902&lon=-117.2887&data... Large scale terrain Large scale map Large scale aerial Back to Top US Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service Office of Hydrologic Development 1325 East West Highway Silver Spring, MD 20910 Report a map error2km Report a map error2km Report a map error2 km Page 3 of 4Precipitation Frequency Data Server 6/5/2015http://hdsc.nws.noaa.gov/hdsc/pfds/pfds_printpage.html?lat=33.6902&lon=-117.2887&data... Questions?:HDSC.Questions@noaa.gov Disclaimer Page 4 of 4Precipitation Frequency Data Server 6/5/2015http://hdsc.nws.noaa.gov/hdsc/pfds/pfds_printpage.html?lat=33.6902&lon=-117.2887&data...